Expected Value Calculator

Is this offer worth taking?

Answer a few quick questions and we'll work out what the offer is worth to you on average.

Step 1

What kind of offer is it?

Pick one to get started.

Bonus or free spins?

What does the casino give you?

Tell us about the bonus

Wagering means how many times you have to play the bonus through before you can withdraw.

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£
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Tell us about the spins

Free spins pay back about 95% of their value on average. Put 0 for wagering if the winnings are paid as cash.

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£

The bet that unlocks it

Most free bets need you to place a bet first. We'll work out what laying it off costs.

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No bet needed? Leave the stake empty.

What do you get?

Enter the free bet amount, then pick the type of bet it has to go on.

£

How many selections?

Check the offer terms for the minimum number of picks the free bet has to go on.

Worth doing
£0.00

Sport free bets

A single free bet keeps about 75% of its value. 2-folds can be laid at Betfair; bigger accas keep about 50% and need an exchange like Smarkets.

Casino bonuses

Every £1 you play loses about 4p on average. More wagering means more of the bonus gets eaten.

Free spins

Spins pay back about 95% of their value on average, before any wagering on the winnings.

Matched betting These are averages, not promises — a single offer can still lose. Matched betting uses bookmaker offers and exchange lays to hedge both outcomes. Done carefully it greatly reduces your exposure to the result, but odds can move and mistakes, exchange liquidity, commission or offer terms can still cause losses. NexusHub does not promote gambling. If you choose to gamble, that is your own decision and your own risk. Free, confidential help is always available at BeGambleAware.org.