Expected Value Calculator
Is this offer worth taking?
Answer a few quick questions and we'll work out what the offer is worth to you on average.
Step 1
Sport free bets
A single free bet keeps about 75% of its value. 2-folds can be laid at Betfair; bigger accas keep about 50% and need an exchange like Smarkets.
Casino bonuses
Every £1 you play loses about 4p on average. More wagering means more of the bonus gets eaten.
Free spins
Spins pay back about 95% of their value on average, before any wagering on the winnings.
Matched betting These are averages, not promises — a single offer can still lose. Matched betting uses bookmaker offers and exchange lays to hedge both outcomes. Done carefully it greatly reduces your exposure to the result, but odds can move and mistakes, exchange liquidity, commission or offer terms can still cause losses. NexusHub does not promote gambling. If you choose to gamble, that is your own decision and your own risk. Free, confidential help is always available at BeGambleAware.org.